The math that quietly governs every long compounding outcome
A portfolio that falls 50% requires a 100% recovery to break even. A portfolio that falls 20% requires a 25% recovery. This is not opinion. It is arithmetic — and it is the silent governor of nearly every multi-decade investing outcome. Most strategies, retail and institutional alike, accept the full weight of this asymmetry as the unavoidable cost of being invested. We do not.
Arithmetic identities. Not return claims, not projections. The asymmetry is the point.